Euro 2016 group stage qualification permutations
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The top two teams in each group are guaranteed to qualify for the round of 16 at Euro 2016, and they will be joined by the four best third-place teams. There are six groups.
In the event that two or more teams finish level on points within a group, the tiebreakers are as follows:
1. Head-to-head points between the teams in question.
2. Head-to-head goal difference between the teams in question.
3. Head-to-head goals scored between the teams in question.
4. Goal difference in all group games.
5. Goals scored in all group games.
6. If two teams are still level and play each other in the final group game, they will have a penalty shootout.
7. Fair play record (three points for a red, one for a yellow).
8. UEFA national team coefficient ranking.
2. Head-to-head goal difference between the teams in question.
3. Head-to-head goals scored between the teams in question.
4. Goal difference in all group games.
5. Goals scored in all group games.
6. If two teams are still level and play each other in the final group game, they will have a penalty shootout.
7. Fair play record (three points for a red, one for a yellow).
8. UEFA national team coefficient ranking.
In deciding the best third-place teams, the tiebreakers are:
1. Points.
2. Goal difference.
3. Goals scored.
4. Fair play record (three points for a red, one for a yellow).
5. UEFA national team coefficient ranking.
2. Goal difference.
3. Goals scored.
4. Fair play record (three points for a red, one for a yellow).
5. UEFA national team coefficient ranking.
See the foot of the page for details of how the fixtures for the best third-placed teams are decided. No third-placed team can finish on more than four points.
Qualified for round of 16: France, Italy, Switzerland, Spain, Wales, England
Eliminated: Romania, Ukraine, Russia
Eliminated: Romania, Ukraine, Russia
RACE FOR BEST THIRD-PLACED
Albania were the first team to secure third place, but with only three points, one goal scored and a -2 goal difference it is going to be very tight for them to be one of the four best. A nervous few days ahead. Two other groups are guaranteed to provide teams on at least three points.
To qualify Albania need two of the following to happen:
- Northern Ireland lose to Germany by four goals
- Czech Republic and Turkey draw OR Turkey beat Czech Republic by only one goal
- Neither Sweden nor Republic of Ireland to win OR Sweden to beat Belgium by four goals and Ireland not beat Italy
- Hungary to beat Portugal and Iceland to avoid defeat to Austria
- Northern Ireland lose to Germany by four goals
- Czech Republic and Turkey draw OR Turkey beat Czech Republic by only one goal
- Neither Sweden nor Republic of Ireland to win OR Sweden to beat Belgium by four goals and Ireland not beat Italy
- Hungary to beat Portugal and Iceland to avoid defeat to Austria
Slovakia are set to qualify as one of the best third-placed teams on four points and a goal difference of zero."
Saturday, June 25
Switzerland vs. RC -- Saint-Etienne (3 p.m. CET/9 a.m. ET, ESPN)
Wales vs. 3A/C/D -- Paris (6 p.m. CET/12 p.m. ET, ESPN)
WD vs. 3B/E/F -- Lens (9 p.m. CET/3 p.m. ET, ESPN)
Switzerland vs. RC -- Saint-Etienne (3 p.m. CET/9 a.m. ET, ESPN)
Wales vs. 3A/C/D -- Paris (6 p.m. CET/12 p.m. ET, ESPN)
WD vs. 3B/E/F -- Lens (9 p.m. CET/3 p.m. ET, ESPN)
Sunday, June 26
France vs. 3C/D/E -- Lyon (3 p.m. CET/9 a.m. ET, ESPN)
WC vs. 3A/B/F -- Lille (6 p.m. CET/12 p.m. ET, ESPN)
WF vs. RE -- Toulouse (9 p.m. CET/3 p.m. ET, ESPN)
France vs. 3C/D/E -- Lyon (3 p.m. CET/9 a.m. ET, ESPN)
WC vs. 3A/B/F -- Lille (6 p.m. CET/12 p.m. ET, ESPN)
WF vs. RE -- Toulouse (9 p.m. CET/3 p.m. ET, ESPN)
Monday, June 27
Italy vs. RD -- Saint-Denis (6 p.m. CET/12 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
England vs. RF -- Nice (9 p.m. CET/3 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
Italy vs. RD -- Saint-Denis (6 p.m. CET/12 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
England vs. RF -- Nice (9 p.m. CET/3 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
Germany: Need a point against Northern Ireland to guarantee qualification. Top spot is very much up for grabs, and if Germany and Poland both win, it will come down to goal difference. If goal difference and goals scored finish identical, it would be decided on fair play record -- at present Poland have five disciplinary points and Germany three. As in other groups, if they cannot be separated on fair play, teams will be split on UEFA national team coefficient ranking (Germany are higher than Poland).
If Germany draw their game, they will finish top unless Poland beat Ukraine. With a defeat, Germany would drop to third if Poland get a point against Ukraine. The same tiebreak scenarios apply if Poland and Germany finish level on points for second and third, with Northern Ireland top.
Poland: Need a point against Ukraine to guarantee second place -- with a draw, Poland could not be overtaken by both Germany and Northern Ireland but could not finish top either. Poland must win to have a chance of finishing top, and would do so if Germany do not win. Poland will be sure of second if they lose to Ukraine and Northern Ireland do not beat Germany. Even if Poland do lose and drop down to third, four points is likely to be enough to reach the round of 16.
Northern Ireland: Must beat Germany to have any chance of a top-two finish, and would then win the group if Poland fail to beat Ukraine. A point against Germany would only see Northern Ireland finish third, but it could be crucial in trying to secure one of the best third-place finishes as it would give them four points.
Ukraine: Are the first team to be eliminated from Euro 2016.
Highest points total possible for third: Four
Lowest points total possible for third: Three
Lowest points total possible for third: Three
Spain: Have qualified for the round of 16 and need a point against Croatia to take top spot.
Croatia: Need a point against Spain to guarantee second place, but must beat Vicente Del Bosque's team to finish first. Croatia are guaranteed a top-three finish, and would likely go through in third place with four points.
Czech Republic: Must beat Turkey, and also hope Croatia lose to Spain, to be in the top two. Second place would then be decided on goal difference, and if that finishes identically, it moves to fair play. Going into the final game, Croatia are on four disciplinary points and the Czechs on two. As in other instances, four points might be enough to go through regardless. If it goes to UEFA national team coefficient, Croatia are higher than Czech Republic.
Turkey: Must beat Czech Republic and hope three points is enough for a place in the knockout rounds, though their heavy defeat to Spain makes that unlikely.
Highest points total possible for third: Four
Lowest points total possible for third: Two
Lowest points total possible for third: Two
Italy: Have qualified for the round of 16 as group winners as they hold the head-to-head over Belgium.
Belgium: Need a point against Sweden to secure second place.
Sweden: Must beat Belgium to go through in second, no other result is likely to send them through, and even then there is the outside chance that Ireland could overtaken them on goal difference. A draw is unlikely to be good enough if they were to finish third on two points.
Ireland: Have to beat Italy, and hope Sweden beat Belgium to have a chance of finishing second. Even then, the Irish would have to beat Italy by at least two more goals than Belgium win to go ahead on goal difference. If goal difference and goals scored finished identical it would go to fair play -- Ireland currently have three disciplinary points and Sweden two. If Ireland and Belgium both win, but Ireland finish third, then four points should be enough to see them through. If it goes to UEFA national team coefficient, Sweden are higher than Ireland.
A draw will almost certainly not be enough even if they finish third on two points.
Highest points total possible for third: Four
Lowest points total possible for third: One
Lowest points total possible for third: One
Hungary: Need a point against Portugal to secure a top-two finish, but must win to guarantee top spot. They will also finish top with a draw if Iceland do not beat Austria by at least two goals. There is the chance that Hungary and Iceland will end with identical records for first, if so the fair play position sees Iceland on five disciplinary points and Hungary on four. If it goes to UEFA national team coefficient, Hungary are higher than Iceland.
Hungary are guaranteed a top-three finish and are highly likely to qualify with four points if they finish third.
Iceland: Need a point to secure a top-three finish, but must beat Austria to be sure of being in the top two. A point would also be enough for second place if Hungary beat Portugal.
Iceland and Portugal are currently level on two points, with Iceland second on goals scored (2-2 vs. 1-1), so if both nations draw it would first be decided on goals scored but could go to fairplay record if both nations end up with identical scoring records in the group. At present, Iceland have five disciplinary points and Portugal just two. If it goes to UEFA national team coefficient, Portugal are higher than Iceland. If Iceland finish third on three points it might not be enough for one of the four best places.
Portugal: Must beat Hungary to be certain of going through, and that would be as group winners if Iceland do not beat Austria or if Iceland win by a smaller margin. The above scenarios for separating Portugal and Iceland with two draws (for second and third) would also apply if both win for the right to be group winners and runners-up.
Austria: Must beat Iceland, and that will only be good enough for the top two if Portugal do not beat Hungary. A Portuguese win means Austria can finish no higher than third, though if Austria win then four points would likely see them through as a best third placed team.
Highest points total possible for third: Four
Lowest points total possible for third: Two
Lowest points total possible for third: Two
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